InvestMarket 操作方式回測(不選股・全標的等權重進場)

產生時間:2026-09-27 02:50:50 台灣時間(花費 7分51秒)
標的數 42 進場樣本 25677(訊號日間隔 2 日曆日) 期間數 6
排行榜含範圍外對照組(只持有到期/只設停損不設移動停利,各槓桿都有):可能找到比你設定範圍更好的解,也方便跟「不操作」比較。
搜尋方式:optuna-tpe,150 次試驗(操作方式=crypto 式二段移動停利+停損+槓桿;不做網格); 搜尋空間:leverage=1/2/3、stop_loss_pct=4~90、s1x=3~30、s1trail=5~25、s1sell=0/25/50/75、s2x=5~120、s2trail=8~40、hold_cal_days=14
所有 % 參數(停損/啟動/回落)都是「權益%」,不是價格%:現貨價門檻 = 權益% ÷ 槓桿(例:2x、停損 8% 權益 = 價格跌 4% 出場); % 參數只搜尋整數。價格層級回落 < 2%(日線分辨不出)的組合不評估(本次略過 0 組)。
成本:手續費 0.05%/邊、滑價 0.1%/邊
排名目標:資金模式:複利(同軌每筆用上一筆剩餘資金;每筆等效複利率);排名目標:平均為主、最差期間不得低於底線(違反底線者按超出幅度重罰)(平均=依實際持有天數年化後換算的等效值,提早出場的資金視為立刻再投入);底線 -0.3%(=最差期間的「每筆等效複利率」不得低於此值,不是整段共此值;定義見下方說明) (排名用「複利平均 gavg_pc」=各期間依序複利的每筆等效成長;表中同時列出其他欄位,可自行比較取捨)
此資金模式會存入最佳操作方式,「指標回測」與每日排名一律沿用,比較才公平。
進場=訊號日下一根 K 棒開盤;持有期以日曆日計,時間到在最後一根 K 棒收盤出場;
日 K 棒內先後順序處理:保守假設(預設;移動停利一律以舊高點回落價成交) (時線校正表狀態:hourly-calibrated(2d),驗證結果見下方——校正表版本對時線判定的偏差比保守版更大,所以預設不採用)

操作方式回測控制頁 ・ 指標回測 ・ 每日排名

✅ 最佳操作方式(依上述排名目標):槓桿1x/停損4%權益(價格4%)/第一段:漲8%啟動、回落25%賣出25%/第二段:漲119%啟動、回落40%賣出剩餘75%/最長持有14日曆日(%皆為權益%)
(停損為兩段共用的硬停損;停損/啟動/回落都是權益%,現貨價門檻 = 權益% ÷ 槓桿;兩段移動停利各自獨立:第一段先賣掉一部分,剩下的走第二段;到期一律以最後一根收盤價出場)
年化(資金週轉):複利 +24.8%、固定資金 +24.6%(平均實際持有 8.6 日,持有日上限 14 日;提早出場的資金視為立刻再投入)
固定資金每筆平均 +0.582%(最差期間 -0.441%)
最差期間 min_pc =-0.505%(各期間中最差的「每筆等效複利率」),複利平均 +0.524% (算術平均 +0.526%), 單筆平均 +0.433%,勝率 36.0%。
⚠ 穩健度為負值:在這批標的、這段歷史上,找不到能穩定獲利的操作方式(此為不選股全買的結果,是否能靠「選股指標」翻正見指標回測)。
指標定義(請先看這裡)
① 一筆=一個持有週期(最長 14 日曆日,約兩週;可能提早停損/停利出場)。同一個訊號日進場的全部標的等權重平均成一筆組合報酬,單位是權益報酬%(已含槓桿與手續費、滑價)。
② 每筆等效複利率 per_trade_compound=把一個期間內首尾相接、互不重疊的一串交易(取 7 條不同起點的路徑)各自依序複利,再換算成「平均每筆」的成長率:(Π(1+每筆報酬))^(1/筆數) − 1,7 條路徑依筆數加權平均。它是每筆的複利報酬,不是每筆的算術平均,也不是整段期間的總報酬。
③ 最差期間 min_pc=各期間的每筆等效複利率中最小的一個;最差期間底線 −0.3%的意思是:任何一個期間的「每筆等效複利率」都不能低於 −0.3%(不是整段共 −0.3%)。
④ 複利平均 gavg_pc=各期間每筆等效複利率再依序複利平均(期間是依序發生的,排名用這個);算術平均 avg_pc=直接平均,僅供對照。
⑤ 換算成整段報酬:整段 ≈ (1 + 每筆)^筆數 − 1,筆數 ≈ 期間日曆日 ÷ 14(期間表的「每條路徑約幾筆」)。表中的「候選訊號日數」(約 100)只是可選的進場日期數量(每 N 日曆日取樣、排除只有加密幣交易的週末),不是交易筆數,也不是複利的筆數。
⑦ 固定資金口徑 fx(每筆固定本金、不複利):每筆都用同樣大小的本金、賺賠不再投入下一筆——「固定資金每筆平均」=各軌道每筆報酬的算術平均,「固定資金整段累加」=每筆報酬直接相加。它不會被「選股少、單筆波動大」的複利波動拖累而吃虧,適合比較「挑選股」與「全買」誰每筆賺得多;但它不反映「全部資金每次滾入」的成長,也看不出集中持股的風險(回撤)——複利口徑(前面各欄)看的是後者。資金模式選「固定資金」時,排名與底線都用這一口徑,且「指標回測」會沿用同一資金模式,才能與全買公平比較。
⑥ 整段期間報酬=該期間內每條不重疊路徑把所有交易依序複利的總報酬 Π(1+每筆報酬) − 1,再對 7 條路徑取平均(表中直接列出,不必自己換算);「全部期間(依序複利)」那一列是各期間整段報酬再依序複利。
⑧ 持有日不同的數字不能直接互比:「每筆」的長度=持有日(14 日的一筆比 7 日的一筆長一倍),所以本頁持有日只允許單一值;跨操作方式比較請看「年化」欄:資金週轉=提早停損/停利出場的資金可以立刻再投入下一筆,所以依「平均實際持有日」年化:年化複利 = (1+每筆等效複利率)^(365÷平均實際持有日) − 1,年化固定資金 = 固定資金每筆平均 × 365 ÷ 平均實際持有日。到期出場算滿持有日、提早出場算實際占用的日曆日(至少 1 天)。排名的「平均」就是依這個年化換算成每個持有日一筆的等效值(持有日固定時,等價於依年化排名);最差期間與底線仍用每筆口徑。這假設提早出場後馬上有下一筆可進場、且報酬與持有時間長短無關,是樂觀的簡化——實際上提早出場後的閒置日、換手的成本都會侵蝕這個好處。
例(本次最差期間 2021-10-22~2022-08-16,約 299 日曆日):每筆等效複利率 -0.505% × 約 20.4 筆依序複利 ≈ 整段期間 -9.8%(實測)。

前 15 名操作方式(依排名目標排序)

#槓桿停損
(權益%)
第一段 啟動/回落(權益%)/賣出占部位%第二段 啟動/回落
(權益%)
持有日
(日曆日)
最差期間 min_pc%複利平均 gavg_pc%算術平均 avg_pc%固定資金平均 fx_avg%
(每筆固定本金、不複利)
平均實際持有日
(提早出場會小於持有日)
年化複利%
(資金週轉)
年化固定資金%
(資金週轉)
單筆平均%勝率出場分布
11x4%8% / 25% / 賣25%119% / 40%14-0.505+0.524+0.526+0.5828.6+24.8+24.6+0.43336.0%停損48.36%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.09%、跳空移動停利0.02%、到期44.75%
21x4%6% / 25% / 賣25%105% / 38%14-0.505+0.524+0.526+0.5828.6+24.8+24.6+0.43336.0%停損48.36%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.09%、跳空移動停利0.02%、到期44.75%
31x4%8% / 25% / 賣25%112% / 37%14-0.505+0.524+0.526+0.5828.6+24.8+24.6+0.43336.0%停損48.36%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.09%、跳空移動停利0.02%、到期44.75%
41x4%7% / 25% / 賣50%111% / 32%14-0.507+0.520+0.522+0.5788.6+24.6+24.5+0.42936.1%停損48.32%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.17%、跳空移動停利0.03%、到期44.69%
51x4%14% / 25% / 賣50%120% / 34%14-0.507+0.520+0.522+0.5788.6+24.6+24.5+0.42936.1%停損48.32%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.17%、跳空移動停利0.03%、到期44.69%
61x4%11% / 25% / 賣50%114% / 36%14-0.507+0.520+0.522+0.5788.6+24.6+24.5+0.42936.1%停損48.32%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.17%、跳空移動停利0.03%、到期44.69%
71x4%11% / 25% / 賣50%107% / 36%14-0.507+0.520+0.522+0.5788.6+24.6+24.5+0.42936.1%停損48.32%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.17%、跳空移動停利0.03%、到期44.69%
81x4%12% / 24% / 賣50%112% / 38%14-0.507+0.514+0.516+0.5728.6+24.3+24.2+0.42536.1%停損48.31%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.22%、跳空移動停利0.03%、到期44.65%
91x4%12% / 24% / 賣50%111% / 37%14-0.507+0.514+0.516+0.5728.6+24.3+24.2+0.42536.1%停損48.31%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.22%、跳空移動停利0.03%、到期44.65%
101x4%13% / 24% / 賣50%114% / 36%14-0.507+0.514+0.516+0.5728.6+24.3+24.2+0.42536.1%停損48.31%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.22%、跳空移動停利0.03%、到期44.65%
111x4%5% / 23% / 賣25%103% / 39%14-0.510+0.520+0.522+0.5788.6+24.6+24.5+0.43136.0%停損48.35%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.14%、跳空移動停利0.01%、到期44.71%
121x4%7% / 23% / 賣25%99% / 38%14-0.510+0.520+0.522+0.5788.6+24.6+24.5+0.43136.0%停損48.35%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.14%、跳空移動停利0.01%、到期44.71%
131x4%3% / 24% / 賣50%111% / 27%14-0.507+0.512+0.514+0.5708.6+24.2+24.1+0.42536.1%停損48.31%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.23%、跳空移動停利0.03%、到期44.65%
141x4%5% / 22% / 賣25%111% / 36%14-0.512+0.519+0.520+0.5778.6+24.5+24.4+0.43136.0%停損48.33%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.18%、跳空移動停利0.01%、到期44.69%
151x4%6% / 22% / 賣25%110% / 38%14-0.512+0.519+0.520+0.5778.6+24.5+24.4+0.43136.0%停損48.33%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.18%、跳空移動停利0.01%、到期44.69%

各槓桿最佳

槓桿停損
(權益%)
第一段 啟動/回落(權益%)/賣出占部位%第二段 啟動/回落
(權益%)
持有日
(日曆日)
最差期間 min_pc%複利平均 gavg_pc%算術平均 avg_pc%固定資金平均 fx_avg%
(每筆固定本金、不複利)
平均實際持有日
(提早出場會小於持有日)
年化複利%
(資金週轉)
年化固定資金%
(資金週轉)
單筆平均%勝率出場分布
1x4%8% / 25% / 賣25%119% / 40%14-0.505+0.524+0.526+0.5828.6+24.8+24.6+0.43336.0%停損48.36%、跳空停損6.79%、移動停利0.09%、跳空移動停利0.02%、到期44.75%
2x13%—(跳過)9999% / 99%14-1.887+1.333+1.346+1.69010.7+57.2+57.8+1.26643.7%停損33.49%、跳空停損4.87%、到期61.65%
3x13%—(跳過)9999% / 99%14-2.193+1.341+1.357+1.8769.0+72.0+76.3+1.41337.4%停損46.02%、跳空停損6.65%、到期47.33%

對照:只持有到期(不設停損/停利,僅槓桿強平;持有日同最佳操作方式,1x=單純買進持有)

槓桿停損
(權益%)
第一段 啟動/回落(權益%)/賣出占部位%第二段 啟動/回落
(權益%)
持有日
(日曆日)
最差期間 min_pc%複利平均 gavg_pc%算術平均 avg_pc%固定資金平均 fx_avg%
(每筆固定本金、不複利)
平均實際持有日
(提早出場會小於持有日)
年化複利%
(資金週轉)
年化固定資金%
(資金週轉)
單筆平均%勝率出場分布
1x99%—(跳過)9999% / 99%14-1.313+1.042+1.050+1.20614.0+31.0+31.4+1.09051.6%到期100%
2x99%—(跳過)9999% / 99%14-3.221+1.726+1.759+2.38314.0+56.3+62.2+2.14551.6%停損0.2%、跳空停損0.02%、到期99.78%
3x99%—(跳過)9999% / 99%14-5.623+1.922+2.000+3.41813.9+64.8+89.7+3.02651.5%停損1.68%、跳空停損0.15%、到期98.18%

槓桿曲線:槓桿 1x~5x 的複利平均與最差期間

其他參數固定(最佳操作方式的停損/啟動/回落都是權益%,槓桿變大時對應的價格門檻=權益% ÷ 槓桿,變得更小、更容易觸發), 只改槓桿;實線=最佳操作方式,虛線=只持有到期(不設停損停利)。單位是「每個持有日一筆」的%(複利=每筆等效複利率、固定資金=每筆報酬算術平均,都已依平均實際持有天數做「資金週轉調整」:提早出場的資金視為立刻再投入), 最差期間=各期間中最差的那一個。圈起來的點=複利平均的最高點。

複利口徑

-12.4-9.4-6.3-3.2-0.1+3.01x2x3x4x5x槓桿(倍)複利平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 1x: +0.853%複利平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 1.5x: +1.107%複利平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 2x: +1.269%複利平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 2.5x: +1.191%複利平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 3x: +0.686%複利平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 3.5x: +0.247%複利平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 4x: -0.454%複利平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 4.5x: -0.986%複利平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 5x: -2.169%複利平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式)最差期間(最佳操作方式) 1x: -0.505%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 1.5x: -0.760%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 2x: -0.893%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 2.5x: -1.196%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 3x: -1.471%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 3.5x: -1.574%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 4x: -1.869%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 4.5x: -1.924%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 5x: -2.351%最差期間(最佳操作方式)複利平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 1x: +1.042%複利平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 1.5x: +1.443%複利平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 2x: +1.727%複利平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 2.5x: +1.875%複利平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 3x: +1.935%複利平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 3.5x: +1.786%複利平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 4x: +1.689%複利平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 4.5x: +1.398%複利平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 5x: +1.181%複利平均・週轉調整(只持有到期)最差期間(只持有到期) 1x: -1.313%最差期間(只持有到期) 1.5x: -2.141%最差期間(只持有到期) 2x: -3.221%最差期間(只持有到期) 2.5x: -4.351%最差期間(只持有到期) 3x: -5.623%最差期間(只持有到期) 3.5x: -6.937%最差期間(只持有到期) 4x: -8.279%最差期間(只持有到期) 4.5x: -9.976%最差期間(只持有到期) 5x: -11.377%最差期間(只持有到期)

固定資金口徑

-6.5-3.9-1.3+1.2+3.8+6.41x2x3x4x5x槓桿(倍)固定資金平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 1x: +0.945%固定資金平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 1.5x: +1.279%固定資金平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 2x: +1.518%固定資金平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 2.5x: +1.523%固定資金平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 3x: +1.103%固定資金平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 3.5x: +0.772%固定資金平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 4x: +0.148%固定資金平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 4.5x: -0.301%固定資金平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式) 5x: -1.453%固定資金平均・週轉調整(最佳操作方式)最差期間(最佳操作方式) 1x: -0.441%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 1.5x: -0.691%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 2x: -0.812%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 2.5x: -1.104%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 3x: -1.389%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 3.5x: -1.479%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 4x: -1.775%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 4.5x: -1.822%最差期間(最佳操作方式) 5x: -2.263%最差期間(最佳操作方式)固定資金平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 1x: +1.206%固定資金平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 1.5x: +1.809%固定資金平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 2x: +2.385%固定資金平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 2.5x: +2.907%固定資金平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 3x: +3.441%固定資金平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 3.5x: +3.857%固定資金平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 4x: +4.415%固定資金平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 4.5x: +4.881%固定資金平均・週轉調整(只持有到期) 5x: +5.469%固定資金平均・週轉調整(只持有到期)最差期間(只持有到期) 1x: -1.095%最差期間(只持有到期) 1.5x: -1.642%最差期間(只持有到期) 2x: -2.295%最差期間(只持有到期) 2.5x: -2.899%最差期間(只持有到期) 3x: -3.504%最差期間(只持有到期) 3.5x: -4.060%最差期間(只持有到期) 4x: -4.562%最差期間(只持有到期) 4.5x: -5.244%最差期間(只持有到期) 5x: -5.575%最差期間(只持有到期)
槓桿最佳操作方式只持有到期
複利平均
(週轉調整)%
最差期間
min_pc%
固定資金平均
(週轉調整)%
最差期間
fx_min%
複利平均
(週轉調整)%
最差期間
min_pc%
固定資金平均
(週轉調整)%
最差期間
fx_min%
1x+0.853-0.505+0.945-0.441+1.042-1.313+1.206-1.095
1.5x+1.107-0.760+1.279-0.691+1.443-2.141+1.809-1.642
2x+1.269-0.893+1.518-0.812+1.727-3.221+2.385-2.295
2.5x+1.191-1.196+1.523-1.104+1.875-4.351+2.907-2.899
3x+0.686-1.471+1.103-1.389+1.935-5.623+3.441-3.504
3.5x+0.247-1.574+0.772-1.479+1.786-6.937+3.857-4.060
4x-0.454-1.869+0.148-1.775+1.689-8.279+4.415-4.562
4.5x-0.986-1.924-0.301-1.822+1.398-9.976+4.881-5.244
5x-2.169-2.351-1.453-2.263+1.181-11.377+5.469-5.575
怎麼讀:
・複利平均最高點:最佳操作方式 2x(+1.269%)、只持有到期 3x(+1.935%)。
・固定資金每筆平均隨槓桿幾乎成正比上升(最佳操作方式最高在 2.5x、只持有到期在 5x),沒有轉折;但複利平均到某個槓桿後會轉折下降(波動吃掉成長), 且最差期間隨槓桿快速惡化。
・實際使用建議取最高點的一半到三分之二(半凱利):依複利最高點約 1x ~ 1.3x。原因=最高點是歷史挑出來的, 會高估;超過真正最高點時成長率掉得比低於它時快(曲線不對稱),且強平/跳空風險回測看不到。

目前有 7 個參數同時在搜尋範圍內:槓桿(倍)、停損(權益%)、第一段啟動(權益%)、第一段回落(權益%)、第一段賣出占比(%)、第二段啟動(權益%)、第二段回落(權益%)——不會畫單一參數掃描圖(該圖只在剛好 1 個參數變動時才有意義)。如果你想單獨看某一個參數的效果,記得把上次掃描剩下的其他參數欄位改回單一值(表單會記住上次填的內容,換掃描目標時容易忘記改回去)。

資金曲線年化估算(實際複利路徑,幾何平均):+10.9%/年
依據:7 條互不重疊軌道,實際經過約 1762 天(約 4.8 年), 期末倍數跨軌道取幾何平均 = 1.65x,換算年化 +10.9%。
這個數字比下方「各期間報酬表」的算術平均更貼近實際:算術平均會被少數爆賺的軌道拉高 (例如某一軌 50 倍、另一軌只有 1.3 倍,算術平均會被前者拉走),幾何平均才代表「典型一條軌道」的真實經驗, 也是唯一真正對應「一筆錢從頭到尾連續投入」這個情境的算法。

多軌資金曲線(查驗複利風險用)

把整段歷史攤開,畫出 7 條互不重疊、各自獨立複利的資金軌道(起始都是 1.0,y 軸是對數座標, 因為複利成長可以跨好幾個數量級,線性座標會看不出早期的細節)。這張圖用來直接檢查「不停損(或停損很鬆)時, 會不會有某一軌被少數重摔的標的拖累,一路很久墊在低點沒有回本」——如果真的發生,會在圖上看到某條線大幅落後其他條、 長時間貼在低檔;如果只是像本頁其他數字顯示的那樣穩定成長,代表不是靠犧牲少數軌道去平均出來的, 而是因為每一筆交易本身就是「當天全部標的等權重」的組合報酬,單一標的重摔只會拉低當天組合報酬的一小部分 (例如池子裡 40 檔,一檔摔 −100% 只讓當天組合報酬掉約 −2.5 個百分點),不會讓整條資金軌道腰斬。 目前最差的一軌是第 5 軌,期末倍數 1.45x。

1x2x2021-10-222022-08-152023-06-082024-03-312025-01-222025-11-152026-09-08第1軌 期末=1.90x第1軌 1.90x第2軌 期末=1.64x第2軌 1.64x第3軌 期末=1.47x第3軌 1.47x第4軌 期末=1.55x第4軌 1.55x第5軌 期末=1.45x第5軌 1.45x第6軌 期末=1.71x第6軌 1.71x第7軌 期末=1.90x第7軌 1.90x

最佳操作方式:各期間表現

期間(訊號日)日曆日數每筆等效複利率 %整段期間報酬 %
(各路徑複利後平均)
固定資金每筆平均 %
(不複利)
固定資金整段累加 %
(每筆固定本金相加)
每條路徑平均幾筆 候選訊號日數
(每2日曆日取樣、排除僅加密幣的週末)
軌道數軌道獲利比例
2021-10-22~2022-08-16299-0.505-9.82-0.441-9.020.410470%
2022-08-17~2023-06-12300+0.282+5.75+0.341+6.619.91017100%
2023-06-13~2024-04-07300+0.725+15.79+0.761+15.620.31027100%
2024-04-08~2025-02-01300+0.828+18.22+0.879+17.820.31027100%
2025-02-02~2025-11-28300+1.202+27.44+1.262+25.520.31037100%
2025-11-29~2026-09-24300+0.620+12.67+0.689+13.219.397786%
全部期間(複利/累加)1799+0.523+87.44+0.579+69.7120.5609

複利用的是「每條路徑約幾筆」(互不重疊、間隔 ≥ 持有日),不是「候選訊號日數」;後者只是可選的進場日期數量。

驗證:日線回測(含校正表)vs 時線直接判定

以最佳操作模式,對 42 檔有時線的標的(最近約 2~3 年、每 3 個訊號日取樣)逐筆比較。「保守」=沒有校正表、移動停利一律以舊高點回落價成交。單位:權益報酬%(平均)。MAE=與時線判定逐筆差的平均絕對值。

類別筆數時線判定 平均%日線+校正 平均%日線保守 平均%MAE(校正)MAE(保守)時線 出場分布日線+校正 出場分布
股票/指數/商品8027+0.776+0.767+0.7710.3180.314停損42.8%、跳空停損7.7%、到期49.5%停損42.5%、跳空停損7.8%、到期49.7%
加密幣1190+0.766+0.686+0.7640.1510.074停損68.2%、跳空停損0.7%、到期31.2%停損68.7%、到期31.3%

校正表摘要(目前未採用,僅供驗證對照)

類別隱藏反轉機率曲線 [ratio, prob]樣本日數
股票/指數/商品[[0.05, 0.2441], [0.15, 0.3792], [0.25, 0.4704], [0.35, 0.5206], [0.45, 0.5558], [0.55, 0.5685], [0.65, 0.5645], [0.75, 0.5538], [0.85, 0.5079], [0.95, 0.4615]]38634
加密幣[[0.05, 0.6221], [0.15, 0.7967], [0.25, 0.8743], [0.35, 0.8551], [0.45, 0.8013], [0.55, 0.755], [0.65, 0.7212], [0.75, 0.6325], [0.85, 0.5907], [0.95, 0.5326]]3650

報酬率分佈(單筆交易,查錯用)

每一筆是「一個標的、一個進場日」的實際模擬結果(權益%:已含槓桿、手續費與滑價,持有最長 14 日曆日)。用來檢查有沒有不合理的地方(例如停損筆的報酬遠超過停損設定、到期筆全部為正等)。(本頁不選股,每個標的每個訊號日都進場。)
強平的位置:價格跌到權益虧損約 90%(=1 ÷ 槓桿 × 0.9,交易所會在保證金耗盡之前就強制平倉,不會等到虧 100%)就視為強平,所以「不設停損」時的大虧會集中在 −90% 再加上手續費/滑價(約 −91% ~ −93%),而不是 −100%;強平在表中歸類為「停損」。若遇跳空一開盤就穿過強平價,才會虧得更多(表中「跳空停損」的最小值)。

最佳操作方式(全買,所有期間的全部交易)

筆數平均%中位數%標準差%勝率%最小%P5P25P75P95最大%
25457+0.43-4.299.0136.0-35.61-4.66-4.29+2.89+15.86+171.16

依出場類型(取部位比例較大的一段;查錯用:停損的報酬應集中在「−停損權益%」附近再扣成本,到期的報酬應散布在 0 兩側)

出場類型筆數占比平均報酬%最小%最大%
停損1232048.4%-4.29-4.29+0.72
跳空停損17296.8%-5.96-35.61+0.37
移動停利10.0%+47.72+47.72+47.72
到期1140744.8%+6.50-4.18+171.16

等距 2%(細節)

(-36, -34]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(-36, -34]%1筆(0.0%)(-34, -32]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(-34, -32]%0筆(0.0%)(-32, -30]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(-32, -30]%1筆(0.0%)(-30, -28]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(-30, -28]%0筆(0.0%)(-28, -26]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(-28, -26]%0筆(0.0%)(-26, -24]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(-26, -24]%2筆(0.0%)(-24, -22]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(-24, -22]%2筆(0.0%)(-22, -20]%: 4筆 (0.02%)(-22, -20]%4筆(0.0%)(-20, -18]%: 6筆 (0.02%)(-20, -18]%6筆(0.0%)(-18, -16]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(-18, -16]%2筆(0.0%)(-16, -14]%: 11筆 (0.04%)(-16, -14]%11筆(0.0%)(-14, -12]%: 16筆 (0.06%)(-14, -12]%16筆(0.1%)(-12, -10]%: 50筆 (0.20%)(-12, -10]%50筆(0.2%)(-10, -8]%: 107筆 (0.42%)(-10, -8]%107筆(0.4%)(-8, -6]%: 280筆 (1.10%)(-8, -6]%280筆(1.1%)(-6, -4]%: 13541筆 (53.19%)(-6, -4]%13541筆(53.2%)(-4, -2]%: 668筆 (2.62%)(-4, -2]%668筆(2.6%)(-2, 0]%: 1589筆 (6.24%)(-2, 0]%1589筆(6.2%)(0, 2]%: 1984筆 (7.79%)(0, 2]%1984筆(7.8%)(2, 4]%: 1773筆 (6.96%)(2, 4]%1773筆(7.0%)(4, 6]%: 1276筆 (5.01%)(4, 6]%1276筆(5.0%)(6, 8]%: 1035筆 (4.07%)(6, 8]%1035筆(4.1%)(8, 10]%: 697筆 (2.74%)(8, 10]%697筆(2.7%)(10, 12]%: 493筆 (1.94%)(10, 12]%493筆(1.9%)(12, 14]%: 359筆 (1.41%)(12, 14]%359筆(1.4%)(14, 16]%: 308筆 (1.21%)(14, 16]%308筆(1.2%)(16, 18]%: 237筆 (0.93%)(16, 18]%237筆(0.9%)(18, 20]%: 189筆 (0.74%)(18, 20]%189筆(0.7%)(20, 22]%: 148筆 (0.58%)(20, 22]%148筆(0.6%)(22, 24]%: 136筆 (0.53%)(22, 24]%136筆(0.5%)(24, 26]%: 69筆 (0.27%)(24, 26]%69筆(0.3%)(26, 28]%: 63筆 (0.25%)(26, 28]%63筆(0.2%)(28, 30]%: 55筆 (0.22%)(28, 30]%55筆(0.2%)(30, 32]%: 48筆 (0.19%)(30, 32]%48筆(0.2%)(32, 34]%: 50筆 (0.20%)(32, 34]%50筆(0.2%)(34, 36]%: 37筆 (0.15%)(34, 36]%37筆(0.1%)(36, 38]%: 24筆 (0.09%)(36, 38]%24筆(0.1%)(38, 40]%: 28筆 (0.11%)(38, 40]%28筆(0.1%)(40, 42]%: 14筆 (0.05%)(40, 42]%14筆(0.1%)(42, 44]%: 21筆 (0.08%)(42, 44]%21筆(0.1%)(44, 46]%: 14筆 (0.05%)(44, 46]%14筆(0.1%)(46, 48]%: 18筆 (0.07%)(46, 48]%18筆(0.1%)(48, 50]%: 9筆 (0.04%)(48, 50]%9筆(0.0%)(50, 52]%: 14筆 (0.05%)(50, 52]%14筆(0.1%)(52, 54]%: 4筆 (0.02%)(52, 54]%4筆(0.0%)(54, 56]%: 9筆 (0.04%)(54, 56]%9筆(0.0%)(56, 58]%: 6筆 (0.02%)(56, 58]%6筆(0.0%)(58, 60]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(58, 60]%2筆(0.0%)(60, 62]%: 3筆 (0.01%)(60, 62]%3筆(0.0%)(62, 64]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(62, 64]%2筆(0.0%)(64, 66]%: 3筆 (0.01%)(64, 66]%3筆(0.0%)(66, 68]%: 3筆 (0.01%)(66, 68]%3筆(0.0%)(68, 70]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(68, 70]%2筆(0.0%)(70, 72]%: 8筆 (0.03%)(70, 72]%8筆(0.0%)(72, 74]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(72, 74]%1筆(0.0%)(74, 76]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(74, 76]%2筆(0.0%)(76, 78]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(76, 78]%2筆(0.0%)(78, 80]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(78, 80]%1筆(0.0%)(80, 82]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(80, 82]%0筆(0.0%)(82, 84]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(82, 84]%0筆(0.0%)(84, 86]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(84, 86]%2筆(0.0%)(86, 88]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(86, 88]%2筆(0.0%)(88, 90]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(88, 90]%1筆(0.0%)(90, 92]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(90, 92]%2筆(0.0%)(92, 94]%: 4筆 (0.02%)(92, 94]%4筆(0.0%)(94, 96]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(94, 96]%0筆(0.0%)(96, 98]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(96, 98]%1筆(0.0%)(98, 100]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(98, 100]%1筆(0.0%)(100, 102]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(100, 102]%0筆(0.0%)(102, 104]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(102, 104]%0筆(0.0%)(104, 106]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(104, 106]%0筆(0.0%)(106, 108]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(106, 108]%1筆(0.0%)(108, 110]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(108, 110]%0筆(0.0%)(110, 112]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(110, 112]%1筆(0.0%)(112, 114]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(112, 114]%2筆(0.0%)(114, 116]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(114, 116]%0筆(0.0%)(116, 118]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(116, 118]%2筆(0.0%)(118, 120]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(118, 120]%1筆(0.0%)(120, 122]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(120, 122]%1筆(0.0%)(122, 124]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(122, 124]%1筆(0.0%)(124, 126]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(124, 126]%1筆(0.0%)(126, 128]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(126, 128]%0筆(0.0%)(128, 130]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(128, 130]%0筆(0.0%)(130, 132]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(130, 132]%0筆(0.0%)(132, 134]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(132, 134]%1筆(0.0%)(134, 136]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(134, 136]%1筆(0.0%)(136, 138]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(136, 138]%0筆(0.0%)(138, 140]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(138, 140]%0筆(0.0%)(140, 142]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(140, 142]%0筆(0.0%)(142, 144]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(142, 144]%0筆(0.0%)(144, 146]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(144, 146]%1筆(0.0%)(146, 148]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(146, 148]%0筆(0.0%)(148, 150]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(148, 150]%0筆(0.0%)(150, 152]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(150, 152]%0筆(0.0%)(152, 154]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(152, 154]%0筆(0.0%)(154, 156]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(154, 156]%1筆(0.0%)(156, 158]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(156, 158]%1筆(0.0%)(158, 160]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(158, 160]%0筆(0.0%)(160, 162]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(160, 162]%0筆(0.0%)(162, 164]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(162, 164]%0筆(0.0%)(164, 166]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(164, 166]%1筆(0.0%)(166, 168]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(166, 168]%0筆(0.0%)(168, 170]%: 0筆 (0.00%)(168, 170]%0筆(0.0%)(170, 172]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(170, 172]%1筆(0.0%)

等距 10%(總覽)

(-40, -30]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(-40, -30]%2筆(0.0%)(-30, -20]%: 8筆 (0.03%)(-30, -20]%8筆(0.0%)(-20, -10]%: 85筆 (0.33%)(-20, -10]%85筆(0.3%)(-10, 0]%: 16185筆 (63.58%)(-10, 0]%16185筆(63.6%)(0, 10]%: 6765筆 (26.57%)(0, 10]%6765筆(26.6%)(10, 20]%: 1586筆 (6.23%)(10, 20]%1586筆(6.2%)(20, 30]%: 471筆 (1.85%)(20, 30]%471筆(1.9%)(30, 40]%: 187筆 (0.73%)(30, 40]%187筆(0.7%)(40, 50]%: 76筆 (0.30%)(40, 50]%76筆(0.3%)(50, 60]%: 35筆 (0.14%)(50, 60]%35筆(0.1%)(60, 70]%: 13筆 (0.05%)(60, 70]%13筆(0.1%)(70, 80]%: 14筆 (0.05%)(70, 80]%14筆(0.1%)(80, 90]%: 5筆 (0.02%)(80, 90]%5筆(0.0%)(90, 100]%: 8筆 (0.03%)(90, 100]%8筆(0.0%)(100, 110]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(100, 110]%1筆(0.0%)(110, 120]%: 6筆 (0.02%)(110, 120]%6筆(0.0%)(120, 130]%: 3筆 (0.01%)(120, 130]%3筆(0.0%)(130, 140]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(130, 140]%2筆(0.0%)(140, 150]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(140, 150]%1筆(0.0%)(150, 160]%: 2筆 (0.01%)(150, 160]%2筆(0.0%)(160, 170]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(160, 170]%1筆(0.0%)(170, 180]%: 1筆 (0.00%)(170, 180]%1筆(0.0%)

進出場目視檢查

報酬最高的交易(時線 K 棒圖)

AAOI 進場 2026-02-19 日線回測:到期 +133.28%(權益)39.326758.700878.07597.4491116.82302-18 14:30 O=43.13 H=43.13 L=42.56 C=42.6602-18 15:30 O=42.62 H=43.58 L=42.56 C=43.4402-19 09:30 O=43.25 H=45.6 L=42.71 C=44.5302-19 10:30 O=44.555 H=45.94 L=44.555 C=45.670102-19 11:30 O=45.71 H=46.12 L=45 C=45.5302-19 12:30 O=45.59 H=45.92 L=45.15 C=45.8102-19 13:30 O=45.77 H=46.3599 L=45.64 C=45.85502-19 14:30 O=45.91 H=46.2423 L=45.79 C=45.7902-19 15:30 O=45.78 H=47 L=45.6604 C=4702-20 09:30 O=46 H=50.75 L=45.9601 C=50.3602-20 10:30 O=50.36 H=54.3 L=50.0201 C=52.5302-20 11:30 O=52.5 H=53.1199 L=49.9224 C=50.3602-20 12:30 O=50.37 H=52.125 L=50.3 C=51.4802-20 13:30 O=51.48 H=52.5599 L=51.3 C=51.80502-20 14:30 O=51.78 H=52.02 L=50.93 C=51.5202-20 15:30 O=51.47 H=51.98 L=51.4 C=51.72502-23 09:30 O=50.52 H=54.98 L=49.95 C=54.452502-23 10:30 O=54.45 H=55.085 L=53.6 C=54.391302-23 11:30 O=54.42 H=54.8316 L=53.28 C=53.6102-23 12:30 O=53.615 H=53.9999 L=52.6604 C=53.6202-23 13:30 O=53.7 H=54.12 L=52.73 C=53.3502-23 14:30 O=53.355 H=53.88 L=53.11 C=53.1102-23 15:30 O=53.1 H=54.2499 L=53 C=53.9602-24 09:30 O=52.88 H=55.15 L=51 C=54.26502-24 10:30 O=54.3316 H=55.07 L=53.381 C=54.502-24 11:30 O=54.445 H=55.73 L=54.01 C=55.3202-24 12:30 O=55.33 H=55.65 L=55.14 C=55.4302-24 13:30 O=55.4255 H=55.88 L=54.62 C=55.73502-24 14:30 O=55.76 H=56.1845 L=55.47 C=55.69502-24 15:30 O=55.695 H=56.61 L=55.695 C=56.2402-25 09:30 O=57 H=58.79 L=56.849 C=58.1902-25 10:30 O=58.1925 H=58.8781 L=57.3 C=58.4602-25 11:30 O=58.515 H=59.25 L=57.6 C=59.0402-25 12:30 O=59 H=59.23 L=58.5501 C=58.7702-25 13:30 O=58.74 H=58.99 L=58.41 C=58.411402-25 14:30 O=58.39 H=58.75 L=58.2014 C=58.201402-25 15:30 O=58.159 H=58.3 L=57.84 C=58.102-26 09:30 O=58.35 H=58.98 L=54.2 C=54.4502-26 10:30 O=54.4254 H=55.5 L=53.845 C=55.0302-26 11:30 O=55.1 H=55.62 L=54.33 C=54.3302-26 12:30 O=54.35 H=54.625 L=53.36 C=53.5502-26 13:30 O=53.5405 H=53.9 L=52.91 C=53.30502-26 14:30 O=53.28 H=53.91 L=52.85 C=52.8902-26 15:30 O=52.925 H=53.898 L=52.9 C=53.64502-27 09:30 O=65.86 H=78.5 L=65.568 C=77.500102-27 10:30 O=77.56 H=79.5 L=76 C=77.7102-27 11:30 O=77.73 H=79.49 L=76.89 C=77.802-27 12:30 O=77.85 H=79.82 L=77.03 C=77.9602-27 13:30 O=78 H=82.305 L=77.472 C=81.654902-27 14:30 O=81.7923 H=82.398 L=80.28 C=81.97502-27 15:30 O=82 H=84.31 L=81.51 C=84.2903-02 09:30 O=107.55 H=110 L=94.1 C=94.501503-02 10:30 O=94.44 H=104.96 L=93.78 C=104.7703-02 11:30 O=104.77 H=105.49 L=101.06 C=102.04103-02 12:30 O=102.005 H=104.96 L=101.28 C=102.26903-02 13:30 O=102.26 H=103 L=100.01 C=101.99503-02 14:30 O=101.95 H=104.54 L=101.26 C=101.50703-02 15:30 O=101.43 H=103.478 L=100.9 C=102.503-03 09:30 O=91.5 H=97.4 L=90.02 C=90.05103-03 10:30 O=90.06 H=92.46 L=86.05 C=91.803-03 11:30 O=91.65 H=96.12 L=91.35 C=95.889203-03 12:30 O=95.8101 H=96.3 L=93.39 C=95.2903-03 13:30 O=95.33 H=97.38 L=95.33 C=95.68503-03 14:30 O=95.685 H=96.95 L=94.792 C=95.21503-03 15:30 O=95.12 H=96.235 L=94.39 C=95.3803-04 09:30 O=101.2 H=101.497 L=92.229 C=96.703-04 10:30 O=96.8 H=100.5 L=93.63 C=93.9103-04 11:30 O=93.91 H=96.89 L=93.01 C=95.412503-04 12:30 O=95.39 H=96.94 L=93.56 C=94.4303-04 13:30 O=94.49 H=98 L=94.4291 C=97.5803-04 14:30 O=97.73 H=98.75 L=97.23 C=98.4503-04 15:30 O=98.3995 H=100.28 L=98.09 C=99.7103-05 09:30 O=97.2 H=101.055 L=93.76 C=99.4603-05 10:30 O=99.46 H=102.28 L=97.45 C=97.450103-05 11:30 O=97.57 H=98.4 L=96.04 C=96.4103-05 12:30 O=96.655 H=96.655 L=91.35 C=94.72503-05 13:30 O=94.86 H=98.8799 L=94.7901 C=97.8903-05 14:30 O=97.85 H=99.7933 L=96.51 C=99.0803-05 15:30 O=99.02 H=101.43 L=98.97 C=101.1403-06 09:30 O=98 H=113.89 L=97.24 C=113.6503-06 10:30 O=113.65 H=114.63 L=109.15 C=111.49503-06 11:30 O=111.4 H=112.8 L=109.79 C=111.1903-06 12:30 O=111.14 H=111.993 L=108.64 C=109.64503-06 13:30 O=109.6 H=110.81 L=104.97 C=106.1503-06 14:30 O=106.14 H=106.58 L=97.9 C=97.903-06 15:30 O=97.86 H=98.46 L=95.07 C=95.5103-09 09:30 O=95.175 H=105.65 L=93.8207 C=102.11進場 43.25停損 41.52第1段 25% 啟動 46.71第1段 25% 出場:到期 +133.3%第2段 75% 啟動 94.7175第2段 75% 出場:到期 +133.3%進場02-18 14:3002-26 15:3003-09 09:30
AAOI 進場 2026-02-23 日線回測:到期 +118.43%(權益)46.132567.038587.9446108.851129.75702-20 14:30 O=51.78 H=52.02 L=50.93 C=51.5202-20 15:30 O=51.47 H=51.98 L=51.4 C=51.72502-23 09:30 O=50.52 H=54.98 L=49.95 C=54.452502-23 10:30 O=54.45 H=55.085 L=53.6 C=54.391302-23 11:30 O=54.42 H=54.8316 L=53.28 C=53.6102-23 12:30 O=53.615 H=53.9999 L=52.6604 C=53.6202-23 13:30 O=53.7 H=54.12 L=52.73 C=53.3502-23 14:30 O=53.355 H=53.88 L=53.11 C=53.1102-23 15:30 O=53.1 H=54.2499 L=53 C=53.9602-24 09:30 O=52.88 H=55.15 L=51 C=54.26502-24 10:30 O=54.3316 H=55.07 L=53.381 C=54.502-24 11:30 O=54.445 H=55.73 L=54.01 C=55.3202-24 12:30 O=55.33 H=55.65 L=55.14 C=55.4302-24 13:30 O=55.4255 H=55.88 L=54.62 C=55.73502-24 14:30 O=55.76 H=56.1845 L=55.47 C=55.69502-24 15:30 O=55.695 H=56.61 L=55.695 C=56.2402-25 09:30 O=57 H=58.79 L=56.849 C=58.1902-25 10:30 O=58.1925 H=58.8781 L=57.3 C=58.4602-25 11:30 O=58.515 H=59.25 L=57.6 C=59.0402-25 12:30 O=59 H=59.23 L=58.5501 C=58.7702-25 13:30 O=58.74 H=58.99 L=58.41 C=58.411402-25 14:30 O=58.39 H=58.75 L=58.2014 C=58.201402-25 15:30 O=58.159 H=58.3 L=57.84 C=58.102-26 09:30 O=58.35 H=58.98 L=54.2 C=54.4502-26 10:30 O=54.4254 H=55.5 L=53.845 C=55.0302-26 11:30 O=55.1 H=55.62 L=54.33 C=54.3302-26 12:30 O=54.35 H=54.625 L=53.36 C=53.5502-26 13:30 O=53.5405 H=53.9 L=52.91 C=53.30502-26 14:30 O=53.28 H=53.91 L=52.85 C=52.8902-26 15:30 O=52.925 H=53.898 L=52.9 C=53.64502-27 09:30 O=65.86 H=78.5 L=65.568 C=77.500102-27 10:30 O=77.56 H=79.5 L=76 C=77.7102-27 11:30 O=77.73 H=79.49 L=76.89 C=77.802-27 12:30 O=77.85 H=79.82 L=77.03 C=77.9602-27 13:30 O=78 H=82.305 L=77.472 C=81.654902-27 14:30 O=81.7923 H=82.398 L=80.28 C=81.97502-27 15:30 O=82 H=84.31 L=81.51 C=84.2903-02 09:30 O=107.55 H=110 L=94.1 C=94.501503-02 10:30 O=94.44 H=104.96 L=93.78 C=104.7703-02 11:30 O=104.77 H=105.49 L=101.06 C=102.04103-02 12:30 O=102.005 H=104.96 L=101.28 C=102.26903-02 13:30 O=102.26 H=103 L=100.01 C=101.99503-02 14:30 O=101.95 H=104.54 L=101.26 C=101.50703-02 15:30 O=101.43 H=103.478 L=100.9 C=102.503-03 09:30 O=91.5 H=97.4 L=90.02 C=90.05103-03 10:30 O=90.06 H=92.46 L=86.05 C=91.803-03 11:30 O=91.65 H=96.12 L=91.35 C=95.889203-03 12:30 O=95.8101 H=96.3 L=93.39 C=95.2903-03 13:30 O=95.33 H=97.38 L=95.33 C=95.68503-03 14:30 O=95.685 H=96.95 L=94.792 C=95.21503-03 15:30 O=95.12 H=96.235 L=94.39 C=95.3803-04 09:30 O=101.2 H=101.497 L=92.229 C=96.703-04 10:30 O=96.8 H=100.5 L=93.63 C=93.9103-04 11:30 O=93.91 H=96.89 L=93.01 C=95.412503-04 12:30 O=95.39 H=96.94 L=93.56 C=94.4303-04 13:30 O=94.49 H=98 L=94.4291 C=97.5803-04 14:30 O=97.73 H=98.75 L=97.23 C=98.4503-04 15:30 O=98.3995 H=100.28 L=98.09 C=99.7103-05 09:30 O=97.2 H=101.055 L=93.76 C=99.4603-05 10:30 O=99.46 H=102.28 L=97.45 C=97.450103-05 11:30 O=97.57 H=98.4 L=96.04 C=96.4103-05 12:30 O=96.655 H=96.655 L=91.35 C=94.72503-05 13:30 O=94.86 H=98.8799 L=94.7901 C=97.8903-05 14:30 O=97.85 H=99.7933 L=96.51 C=99.0803-05 15:30 O=99.02 H=101.43 L=98.97 C=101.1403-06 09:30 O=98 H=113.89 L=97.24 C=113.6503-06 10:30 O=113.65 H=114.63 L=109.15 C=111.49503-06 11:30 O=111.4 H=112.8 L=109.79 C=111.1903-06 12:30 O=111.14 H=111.993 L=108.64 C=109.64503-06 13:30 O=109.6 H=110.81 L=104.97 C=106.1503-06 14:30 O=106.14 H=106.58 L=97.9 C=97.903-06 15:30 O=97.86 H=98.46 L=95.07 C=95.5103-09 09:30 O=95.175 H=105.65 L=93.8207 C=102.1103-09 10:30 O=102.42 H=103.473 L=98.21 C=101.1103-09 11:30 O=100.956 H=103.9 L=99.1 C=102.4303-09 12:30 O=102.43 H=104.9 L=101.364 C=103.31503-09 13:30 O=103.38 H=104.75 L=101.94 C=104.23503-09 14:30 O=104.235 H=108.79 L=103.103 C=108.6203-09 15:30 O=108.56 H=110.87 L=107.63 C=110.6203-10 09:30 O=112.1 H=126.309 L=112.01 C=120.33803-10 10:30 O=120.261 H=127.39 L=120.03 C=123.8403-10 11:30 O=123.84 H=126.13 L=120.03 C=120.8403-10 12:30 O=120.84 H=124.34 L=120.495 C=123.603-10 13:30 O=123.5 H=124.56 L=121.295 C=121.36503-10 14:30 O=121.5 H=123.95 L=120.17 C=121.2503-10 15:30 O=121.11 H=122.09 L=119.67 C=120.4203-11 09:30 O=116.81 H=123.6 L=113.88 C=123.05進場 50.52停損 48.4992第1段 25% 啟動 54.5616第1段 25% 出場:到期 +118.4%第2段 75% 啟動 110.639第2段 75% 出場:到期 +118.4%進場02-20 14:3003-02 15:3003-11 09:30
ONDS 進場 2025-05-23 日線回測:到期 +97.18%(權益)0.7891681.110981.43281.754622.0764305-22 14:30 O=0.9044 H=0.909 L=0.8956 C=0.904105-22 15:30 O=0.9041 H=0.9148 L=0.9012 C=0.909305-23 09:30 O=0.86 H=0.9389 L=0.86 C=0.921505-23 10:30 O=0.9223 H=0.9486 L=0.92 C=0.948605-23 11:30 O=0.9489 H=0.95 L=0.9103 C=0.929105-23 12:30 O=0.929 H=0.96 L=0.929 C=0.957305-23 13:30 O=0.9572 H=0.9591 L=0.9433 C=0.951405-23 14:30 O=0.9493 H=0.952 L=0.9179 C=0.922805-23 15:30 O=0.9282 H=0.94 L=0.912 C=0.920905-27 09:30 O=0.9229 H=0.9396 L=0.89 C=0.932705-27 10:30 O=0.9326 H=0.94 L=0.927 C=0.931205-27 11:30 O=0.9311 H=0.9351 L=0.9072 C=0.910105-27 12:30 O=0.91 H=0.9371 L=0.9012 C=0.933105-27 13:30 O=0.9325 H=0.9537 L=0.9272 C=0.946305-27 14:30 O=0.9461 H=0.9514 L=0.9413 C=0.945805-27 15:30 O=0.9457 H=0.9467 L=0.9342 C=0.937505-28 09:30 O=0.95 H=0.9749 L=0.9334 C=0.940405-28 10:30 O=0.9404 H=0.9447 L=0.9321 C=0.940105-28 11:30 O=0.9348 H=0.9699 L=0.9332 C=0.960205-28 12:30 O=0.9603 H=1.08 L=0.9602 C=1.079205-28 13:30 O=1.0708 H=1.15 L=1.07 C=1.08505-28 14:30 O=1.0854 H=1.09 L=1.05 C=1.05505-28 15:30 O=1.0594 H=1.09 L=1.05 C=1.0705-29 09:30 O=1.095 H=1.1 L=1.02 C=1.020705-29 10:30 O=1.0254 H=1.06 L=1 C=1.05505-29 11:30 O=1.055 H=1.06 L=1.02 C=1.034605-29 12:30 O=1.03 H=1.05 L=1.03 C=1.0305-29 13:30 O=1.031 H=1.05 L=1.03 C=1.0305-29 14:30 O=1.035 H=1.06 L=1.03 C=1.044605-29 15:30 O=1.0404 H=1.07 L=1.04 C=1.06505-30 09:30 O=1.08 H=1.19 L=1.07 C=1.1705-30 10:30 O=1.175 H=1.21 L=1.14 C=1.20505-30 11:30 O=1.205 H=1.23 L=1.18 C=1.2105-30 12:30 O=1.205 H=1.21 L=1.1 C=1.15505-30 13:30 O=1.155 H=1.2 L=1.15 C=1.18505-30 14:30 O=1.19 H=1.23 L=1.18 C=1.2305-30 15:30 O=1.225 H=1.23 L=1.21 C=1.21506-02 09:30 O=1.34 H=1.52 L=1.3 C=1.376506-02 10:30 O=1.372 H=1.425 L=1.3 C=1.33506-02 11:30 O=1.335 H=1.43 L=1.26 C=1.4106-02 12:30 O=1.41 H=1.45 L=1.39 C=1.41506-02 13:30 O=1.415 H=1.49 L=1.4 C=1.4706-02 14:30 O=1.4789 H=1.5 L=1.45 C=1.470906-02 15:30 O=1.478 H=1.52 L=1.44 C=1.46506-03 09:30 O=1.585 H=1.66 L=1.47 C=1.49506-03 10:30 O=1.4999 H=1.56 L=1.48 C=1.53506-03 11:30 O=1.535 H=1.63 L=1.51 C=1.59506-03 12:30 O=1.6 H=1.61 L=1.53 C=1.57506-03 13:30 O=1.58 H=1.6 L=1.44 C=1.49506-03 14:30 O=1.495 H=1.52 L=1.44 C=1.45506-03 15:30 O=1.45 H=1.46 L=1.4 C=1.416506-04 09:30 O=1.48 H=1.71 L=1.46 C=1.6906-04 10:30 O=1.689 H=1.74 L=1.61 C=1.679306-04 11:30 O=1.675 H=1.68 L=1.64 C=1.65506-04 12:30 O=1.66 H=1.7 L=1.655 C=1.67506-04 13:30 O=1.68 H=1.73 L=1.67 C=1.729406-04 14:30 O=1.725 H=1.79 L=1.71 C=1.71506-04 15:30 O=1.715 H=1.75 L=1.7 C=1.73506-05 09:30 O=1.85 H=1.8999 L=1.62 C=1.7406-05 10:30 O=1.75 H=1.82 L=1.73 C=1.810706-05 11:30 O=1.8102 H=1.825 L=1.745 C=1.76506-05 12:30 O=1.765 H=1.77 L=1.56 C=1.62506-05 13:30 O=1.6275 H=1.63 L=1.5 C=1.57506-05 14:30 O=1.575 H=1.595 L=1.51 C=1.53906-05 15:30 O=1.535 H=1.605 L=1.5301 C=1.57506-06 09:30 O=1.67 H=1.83 L=1.58 C=1.8106-06 10:30 O=1.805 H=1.87 L=1.8 C=1.8506-06 11:30 O=1.8401 H=1.8598 L=1.76 C=1.77506-06 12:30 O=1.775 H=1.82 L=1.76 C=1.780706-06 13:30 O=1.78 H=1.8 L=1.71 C=1.7306-06 14:30 O=1.7298 H=1.76 L=1.65 C=1.69506-06 15:30 O=1.695 H=1.73 L=1.675 C=1.69506-09 09:30 O=1.925 H=2.04 L=1.79 C=1.98506-09 10:30 O=1.9807 H=2.04 L=1.92 C=2.014706-09 11:30 O=2.02 H=2.04 L=1.8 C=1.803106-09 12:30 O=1.8 H=1.85 L=1.78 C=1.7806-09 13:30 O=1.7889 H=1.81 L=1.73 C=1.806-09 14:30 O=1.8 H=1.81 L=1.71 C=1.7406-09 15:30 O=1.75 H=1.75 L=1.67 C=1.6706-10 09:30 O=1.47 H=1.7 L=1.45 C=1.625進場 0.86停損 0.8256第1段 25% 啟動 0.9288第1段 25% 出場:到期 +96.6%第2段 75% 啟動 1.8834第2段 75% 出場:到期 +96.6%進場05-22 14:3006-02 12:3006-10 09:30

報酬最低的交易(時線 K 棒圖)

NATGAS 進場 2026-01-26 日線回測:跳空停損 -35.61%(權益)3.561263.691453.821643.951834.0820201-25 22:00 O=3.79 H=3.799 L=3.77 C=3.7901-25 23:00 O=3.792 H=3.793 L=3.753 C=3.76501-26 00:00 O=3.766 H=3.803 L=3.751 C=3.79501-26 01:00 O=3.797 H=3.833 L=3.765 C=3.8201-26 02:00 O=3.822 H=3.843 L=3.81 C=3.83901-26 03:00 O=3.841 H=3.866 L=3.818 C=3.84201-26 04:00 O=3.843 H=3.845 L=3.798 C=3.82101-26 05:00 O=3.82 H=3.831 L=3.777 C=3.8301-26 06:00 O=3.83 H=3.852 L=3.809 C=3.81801-26 07:00 O=3.818 H=3.842 L=3.746 C=3.76401-26 08:00 O=3.766 H=3.81 L=3.686 C=3.69901-26 09:00 O=3.698 H=3.769 L=3.651 C=3.69401-26 10:00 O=3.695 H=3.764 L=3.688 C=3.73501-26 11:00 O=3.734 H=3.826 L=3.701 C=3.80201-26 12:00 O=3.8 H=3.912 L=3.795 C=3.90101-26 13:00 O=3.902 H=3.923 L=3.841 C=3.85201-26 14:00 O=3.852 H=3.907 L=3.804 C=3.81801-26 15:00 O=3.819 H=3.851 L=3.782 C=3.8301-26 16:00 O=3.829 H=3.856 L=3.828 C=3.85301-26 18:00 O=3.853 H=3.875 L=3.833 C=3.83901-26 19:00 O=3.838 H=3.841 L=3.795 C=3.80401-26 20:00 O=3.804 H=3.834 L=3.79 C=3.81201-26 21:00 O=3.811 H=3.819 L=3.757 C=3.76401-26 22:00 O=3.763 H=3.79 L=3.732 C=3.75401-26 23:00 O=3.755 H=3.768 L=3.741 C=3.76401-27 00:00 O=3.766 H=3.77 L=3.668 C=3.70701-27 01:00 O=3.711 H=3.769 L=3.678 C=3.76501-27 02:00 O=3.768 H=3.772 L=3.729 C=3.73801-27 03:00 O=3.737 H=3.777 L=3.729 C=3.7501-27 04:00 O=3.749 H=3.757 L=3.699 C=3.70401-27 05:00 O=3.702 H=3.747 L=3.679 C=3.70701-27 06:00 O=3.708 H=3.809 L=3.698 C=3.7901-27 07:00 O=3.793 H=3.795 L=3.658 C=3.67401-27 08:00 O=3.673 H=3.794 L=3.666 C=3.78201-27 09:00 O=3.781 H=3.824 L=3.675 C=3.68201-27 10:00 O=3.684 H=3.727 L=3.658 C=3.70301-27 11:00 O=3.704 H=3.813 L=3.702 C=3.81301-27 12:00 O=3.811 H=3.856 L=3.777 C=3.84501-27 13:00 O=3.846 H=3.904 L=3.829 C=3.90101-27 14:00 O=3.902 H=3.916 L=3.785 C=3.81101-27 15:00 O=3.813 H=3.816 L=3.772 C=3.79601-27 16:00 O=3.794 H=3.821 L=3.773 C=3.77601-27 18:00 O=3.791 H=3.813 L=3.758 C=3.81201-27 19:00 O=3.81 H=3.812 L=3.753 C=3.76601-27 20:00 O=3.767 H=3.789 L=3.762 C=3.77401-27 21:00 O=3.77 H=3.795 L=3.769 C=3.7901-27 22:00 O=3.79 H=3.803 L=3.769 C=3.78601-27 23:00 O=3.789 H=3.79 L=3.74 C=3.75101-28 00:00 O=3.75 H=3.754 L=3.71 C=3.71801-28 01:00 O=3.717 H=3.73 L=3.678 C=3.69801-28 02:00 O=3.697 H=3.715 L=3.681 C=3.68901-28 03:00 O=3.69 H=3.714 L=3.682 C=3.69801-28 04:00 O=3.699 H=3.7 L=3.591 C=3.59701-28 05:00 O=3.597 H=3.623 L=3.576 C=3.6101-28 06:00 O=3.611 H=3.664 L=3.611 C=3.6501-28 07:00 O=3.652 H=3.748 L=3.65 C=3.67501-28 08:00 O=3.675 H=3.725 L=3.641 C=3.6601-28 09:00 O=3.659 H=3.769 L=3.644 C=3.75101-28 10:00 O=3.75 H=3.873 L=3.717 C=3.86101-28 11:00 O=3.86 H=3.899 L=3.838 C=3.84201-28 12:00 O=3.841 H=3.891 L=3.7 C=3.703進場 3.766停損 3.61536第1段 25% 啟動 4.06728第1段 25% 出場:停損 -4.3%第2段 75% 出場:停損 -4.3%進場01-25 22:0001-27 05:0001-28 12:00圖外(不影響縮放):第2段啟動價 8.24754
IBM 進場 2026-07-13 日線回測:跳空停損 -22.33%(權益)210.204236.842263.48290.118316.75607-10 14:30 O=289.305 H=289.68 L=288.6 C=288.7107-10 15:30 O=288.66 H=288.72 L=287.5 C=287.6107-13 09:30 O=290.5 H=297.5 L=289.1 C=293.8507-13 10:30 O=293.9 H=294.57 L=292.02 C=293.9707-13 11:30 O=293.79 H=293.86 L=291.41 C=291.5207-13 12:30 O=291.475 H=292 L=290.09 C=290.407-13 13:30 O=290.35 H=292.23 L=289.155 C=289.89507-13 14:30 O=289.84 H=290.935 L=289.26 C=290.2507-13 15:30 O=290.19 H=291.16 L=289.72 C=290.3807-14 09:30 O=226.365 H=229.92 L=215.67 C=219.14307-14 10:30 O=219.115 H=220.23 L=213.22 C=214.407-14 11:30 O=214.42 H=219.76 L=214.14 C=218.2107-14 12:30 O=218.27 H=220.79 L=216.87 C=220.4307-14 13:30 O=220.4 H=220.7 L=217.119 C=218.92507-14 14:30 O=218.91 H=221.5 L=218.41 C=220.15607-14 15:30 O=220.156 H=220.156 L=216.35 C=217.0807-15 09:30 O=220.965 H=223.813 L=216.26 C=217.5607-15 10:30 O=217.505 H=217.87 L=214.21 C=214.64進場 290.5停損 278.88第1段 25% 啟動 313.74第1段 25% 出場:跳空停損 -22.3%第2段 75% 出場:跳空停損 -22.3%進場07-10 14:3007-14 09:3007-15 10:30圖外(不影響縮放):第2段啟動價 636.195
IBM 進場 2026-07-06 日線回測:跳空停損 -21.75%(權益)210.263236.386262.51288.634314.75707-02 14:30 O=287.77 H=288.09 L=286.58 C=287.7607-02 15:30 O=287.72 H=289.36 L=287.5 C=289.1907-06 09:30 O=288.345 H=297.36 L=287.65 C=297.1807-06 10:30 O=297.19 H=299.295 L=295.21 C=299.29507-06 11:30 O=299.31 H=300.82 L=298 C=298.6707-06 12:30 O=298.47 H=300.459 L=298.04 C=299.98307-06 13:30 O=299.975 H=299.975 L=297.38 C=298.9907-06 14:30 O=298.99 H=300.52 L=298.365 C=300.107-06 15:30 O=300.02 H=300.57 L=298.95 C=299.4907-07 09:30 O=305.66 H=308.49 L=300.49 C=303.5707-07 10:30 O=303.487 H=308.48 L=302.14 C=307.7607-07 11:30 O=307.81 H=311.71 L=307.64 C=310.64207-07 12:30 O=310.71 H=311.69 L=309.24 C=311.29507-07 13:30 O=311.41 H=311.8 L=310.11 C=310.9907-07 14:30 O=310.9 H=311.16 L=308.66 C=309.0807-07 15:30 O=309.08 H=309.27 L=305.82 C=306.1607-08 09:30 O=300.77 H=303.82 L=295.59 C=302.90907-08 10:30 O=302.884 H=303.06 L=299.39 C=300.4707-08 11:30 O=300.425 H=302.51 L=299.897 C=302.28507-08 12:30 O=302.4 H=303.43 L=301.27 C=303.08507-08 13:30 O=303.16 H=303.54 L=301.79 C=302.0807-08 14:30 O=302.025 H=303 L=301.41 C=302.13507-08 15:30 O=302.12 H=302.9 L=300.97 C=301.8707-09 09:30 O=285.835 H=297.284 L=284.438 C=296.0807-09 10:30 O=296.073 H=296.61 L=293.51 C=295.907-09 11:30 O=295.82 H=296.66 L=294.2 C=294.51507-09 12:30 O=294.58 H=294.88 L=292.9 C=293.7407-09 13:30 O=293.745 H=294.81 L=293.21 C=294.5907-09 14:30 O=294.64 H=294.91 L=294.02 C=294.0607-09 15:30 O=294.06 H=295.251 L=293.74 C=295.1507-10 09:30 O=297.26 H=298.77 L=292.03 C=292.9607-10 10:30 O=292.82 H=293.09 L=290.01 C=291.5107-10 11:30 O=291.555 H=291.555 L=289.11 C=289.62507-10 12:30 O=289.715 H=290.63 L=289.435 C=289.8507-10 13:30 O=289.75 H=290.08 L=288.7 C=289.307-10 14:30 O=289.305 H=289.68 L=288.6 C=288.7107-10 15:30 O=288.66 H=288.72 L=287.5 C=287.6107-13 09:30 O=290.5 H=297.5 L=289.1 C=293.8507-13 10:30 O=293.9 H=294.57 L=292.02 C=293.9707-13 11:30 O=293.79 H=293.86 L=291.41 C=291.5207-13 12:30 O=291.475 H=292 L=290.09 C=290.407-13 13:30 O=290.35 H=292.23 L=289.155 C=289.89507-13 14:30 O=289.84 H=290.935 L=289.26 C=290.2507-13 15:30 O=290.19 H=291.16 L=289.72 C=290.3807-14 09:30 O=226.365 H=229.92 L=215.67 C=219.14307-14 10:30 O=219.115 H=220.23 L=213.22 C=214.407-14 11:30 O=214.42 H=219.76 L=214.14 C=218.2107-14 12:30 O=218.27 H=220.79 L=216.87 C=220.4307-14 13:30 O=220.4 H=220.7 L=217.119 C=218.92507-14 14:30 O=218.91 H=221.5 L=218.41 C=220.15607-14 15:30 O=220.156 H=220.156 L=216.35 C=217.0807-15 09:30 O=220.965 H=223.813 L=216.26 C=217.5607-15 10:30 O=217.505 H=217.87 L=214.21 C=214.64進場 288.345停損 276.811第1段 25% 啟動 311.413第1段 25% 出場:跳空停損 -21.8%第2段 75% 出場:跳空停損 -21.8%進場07-02 14:3007-09 12:3007-15 10:30圖外(不影響縮放):第2段啟動價 631.476

隨機抽樣的交易(時線 K 棒圖)

NBIS 進場 2025-03-20 日線回測:跳空停損 -4.70%(權益)25.423326.454227.48528.515929.546703-19 14:30 O=27.55 H=28.2 L=27.37 C=27.4403-19 15:30 O=27.455 H=27.825 L=27.415 C=27.5903-20 09:30 O=27 H=28.38 L=27 C=27.3203-20 10:30 O=27.34 H=27.69 L=27.271 C=27.5503-20 11:30 O=27.55 H=27.56 L=26.56 C=26.66503-20 12:30 O=26.68 H=26.82 L=26.435 C=26.486503-20 13:30 O=26.485 H=26.7 L=26.1 C=26.1203-20 14:30 O=26.1386 H=26.298 L=25.95 C=26.046403-20 15:30 O=26.063 H=26.3 L=26.02 C=26.1803-21 09:30 O=25.8 H=26.38 L=25.54 C=25.9303-21 10:30 O=25.92 H=26.15 L=25.75 C=25.9503-21 11:30 O=25.93 H=26.74 L=25.93 C=26.6903-21 12:30 O=26.6845 H=26.87 L=26.54 C=26.61503-21 13:30 O=26.61 H=26.69 L=26.405 C=26.5703-21 14:30 O=26.578 H=26.77 L=26.455 C=26.49503-21 15:30 O=26.5 H=27 L=26.39 C=2703-24 09:30 O=27.77 H=28.84 L=27.65 C=28.64503-24 10:30 O=28.65 H=29.43 L=28.52 C=29.31進場 27停損 25.92第1段 25% 啟動 29.16第1段 25% 出場:跳空停損 -4.7%第2段 75% 出場:跳空停損 -4.7%進場03-19 14:3003-21 09:3003-24 10:30圖外(不影響縮放):第2段啟動價 59.13
CVX 進場 2025-11-03 日線回測:到期 -1.94%(權益)149.657154.892160.126165.361170.59510-31 14:30 O=158.53 H=159.09 L=158.435 C=158.9310-31 15:30 O=158.925 H=159.18 L=157.46 C=157.68511-03 09:30 O=157.41 H=157.72 L=154.12 C=154.1611-03 10:30 O=154.17 H=155.36 L=153.87 C=155.3311-03 11:30 O=155.35 H=156.27 L=155.115 C=155.8411-03 12:30 O=155.85 H=155.92 L=154.97 C=155.0611-03 13:30 O=155.05 H=155.25 L=154.18 C=155.1211-03 14:30 O=155.129 H=155.39 L=154.49 C=154.5611-03 15:30 O=154.56 H=154.56 L=153.57 C=154.1311-04 09:30 O=153.425 H=153.58 L=152.15 C=152.8711-04 10:30 O=152.885 H=153.76 L=152.85 C=153.4711-04 11:30 O=153.49 H=153.683 L=153.2 C=153.29111-04 12:30 O=153.265 H=153.27 L=152.7 C=152.84511-04 13:30 O=152.845 H=153.365 L=152.68 C=153.13511-04 14:30 O=153.13 H=153.72 L=153.01 C=153.46511-04 15:30 O=153.46 H=153.75 L=153.1 C=153.3911-05 09:30 O=153.53 H=154.395 L=153.35 C=153.99411-05 10:30 O=153.98 H=154.15 L=153.62 C=153.7611-05 11:30 O=153.78 H=153.81 L=153.31 C=153.76511-05 12:30 O=153.75 H=153.89 L=153.54 C=153.84511-05 13:30 O=153.845 H=154.05 L=153.27 C=153.2911-05 14:30 O=153.28 H=153.32 L=152.88 C=153.1311-05 15:30 O=153.15 H=153.5 L=152.66 C=152.6611-06 09:30 O=152.91 H=154.69 L=152.68 C=154.3611-06 10:30 O=154.41 H=154.79 L=154.12 C=154.5111-06 11:30 O=154.51 H=154.62 L=153.88 C=154.01311-06 12:30 O=153.985 H=154.3 L=153.76 C=154.21411-06 13:30 O=154.22 H=154.47 L=153.815 C=153.9611-06 14:30 O=153.96 H=153.96 L=153.05 C=153.3211-06 15:30 O=153.31 H=153.69 L=152.85 C=152.99511-07 09:30 O=153.425 H=156.17 L=153.425 C=155.67511-07 10:30 O=155.635 H=156.01 L=154.955 C=15511-07 11:30 O=154.98 H=155.206 L=154.535 C=154.8211-07 12:30 O=154.8 H=155.12 L=154.595 C=154.8411-07 13:30 O=154.82 H=155.31 L=154.8 C=155.111-07 14:30 O=155.11 H=155.52 L=154.976 C=155.08511-07 15:30 O=155.1 H=155.461 L=154.93 C=155.0711-10 09:30 O=155.42 H=155.7 L=152.37 C=153.2211-10 10:30 O=153.19 H=153.95 L=153.03 C=153.8411-10 11:30 O=153.87 H=154.72 L=153.8 C=154.7211-10 12:30 O=154.709 H=155.25 L=154.709 C=155.0911-10 13:30 O=155.08 H=155.79 L=155.08 C=155.48411-10 14:30 O=155.47 H=155.98 L=155.34 C=155.5411-10 15:30 O=155.53 H=155.705 L=154.7 C=155.6511-11 09:30 O=156.75 H=157.99 L=156.7 C=157.37511-11 10:30 O=157.37 H=157.45 L=157.07 C=157.1711-11 11:30 O=157.17 H=157.287 L=156.6 C=157.0211-11 12:30 O=157.01 H=157.7 L=156.76 C=157.26511-11 13:30 O=157.31 H=157.38 L=156.65 C=156.811-11 14:30 O=156.79 H=156.965 L=156.2 C=156.2611-11 15:30 O=156.26 H=156.36 L=155.9 C=156.23511-12 09:30 O=155.74 H=155.74 L=153.05 C=153.5211-12 10:30 O=153.545 H=153.88 L=152.19 C=152.211-12 11:30 O=152.2 H=153.825 L=152.08 C=153.59511-12 12:30 O=153.59 H=153.64 L=153.16 C=153.32511-12 13:30 O=153.32 H=153.44 L=152.76 C=152.911-12 14:30 O=152.91 H=153.48 L=152.56 C=153.28511-12 15:30 O=153.28 H=153.55 L=153.21 C=153.3511-13 09:30 O=154 H=156.07 L=153.93 C=155.9111-13 10:30 O=155.89 H=156.202 L=155.53 C=155.711-13 11:30 O=155.72 H=155.96 L=155.285 C=155.6211-13 12:30 O=155.6 H=155.781 L=155.42 C=155.59511-13 13:30 O=155.58 H=155.74 L=155.16 C=155.38911-13 14:30 O=155.36 H=155.36 L=154.61 C=155.0311-13 15:30 O=155.05 H=155.61 L=155.045 C=155.5611-14 09:30 O=156.23 H=156.32 L=154.81 C=155.75511-14 10:30 O=155.77 H=156.63 L=155.64 C=156.611-14 11:30 O=156.605 H=157.22 L=156.492 C=156.8211-14 12:30 O=156.82 H=157.49 L=156.74 C=157.31511-14 13:30 O=157.315 H=157.675 L=157.19 C=157.5511-14 14:30 O=157.54 H=157.95 L=157.37 C=157.4711-14 15:30 O=157.46 H=157.705 L=157.25 C=157.6311-17 09:30 O=157.72 H=157.89 L=156.32 C=156.8911-17 10:30 O=156.87 H=157.05 L=156.18 C=156.511-17 11:30 O=156.52 H=156.75 L=156.13 C=156.7511-17 12:30 O=156.74 H=156.783 L=155.665 C=155.7611-17 13:30 O=155.75 H=155.81 L=155.035 C=155.1411-17 14:30 O=155.105 H=155.32 L=154.54 C=154.8811-17 15:30 O=154.89 H=154.965 L=154.435 C=154.8211-18 09:30 O=152.5 H=152.68 L=151.76 C=151.9611-18 10:30 O=151.945 H=152.63 L=151.76 C=152.4411-18 11:30 O=152.41 H=152.73 L=152.24 C=152.511-18 12:30 O=152.49 H=153.85 L=152.45 C=153.7211-18 13:30 O=153.72 H=154.28 L=153.47 C=153.5311-18 14:30 O=153.55 H=154.02 L=153.55 C=153.7911-18 15:30 O=153.785 H=153.84 L=153.34 C=153.611-19 09:30 O=151.16 H=151.361 L=150.25 C=150.45進場 157.41停損 151.114第1段 25% 啟動 170.003第1段 25% 出場:到期 -1.9%第2段 75% 出場:到期 -1.9%進場10-31 14:3011-10 15:3011-19 09:30圖外(不影響縮放):第2段啟動價 344.728
SOLUSDT 進場 2025-06-24 日線回測:停損 -4.29%(權益)137.238142.155147.072151.989156.90606-23 22:00 O=141.095 H=146.566 L=141.064 C=144.7506-23 23:00 O=144.792 H=145.041 L=144.581 C=144.84706-24 00:00 O=144.768 H=144.768 L=143.251 C=143.45206-24 01:00 O=143.469 H=144.403 L=143.268 C=143.76406-24 02:00 O=143.777 H=143.781 L=142.57 C=142.62906-24 03:00 O=142.621 H=143.555 L=142.621 C=143.40106-24 04:00 O=143.384 H=143.494 L=143.062 C=143.27106-24 05:00 O=143.307 H=145.572 L=143.298 C=145.55706-24 06:00 O=145.585 H=146.53 L=145.016 C=146.28906-24 07:00 O=146.33 H=146.348 L=144.236 C=144.23606-24 08:00 O=144.254 H=144.65 L=143.643 C=144.1606-24 09:00 O=144.168 H=145.444 L=144.061 C=144.28706-24 10:00 O=144.27 H=144.27 L=143.609 C=144.20706-24 11:00 O=144.18 H=144.587 L=143.285 C=144.58706-24 12:00 O=144.575 H=144.844 L=144.039 C=144.51706-24 13:00 O=144.53 H=144.772 L=143.709 C=143.93606-24 14:00 O=144.088 H=145.594 L=144.051 C=145.10406-24 15:00 O=145.084 H=145.487 L=143.926 C=144.2606-24 16:00 O=144.409 H=145.835 L=144.079 C=145.83506-24 17:00 O=145.912 H=146.488 L=144.184 C=144.7906-24 18:00 O=144.85 H=144.908 L=143.917 C=143.91706-24 19:00 O=143.775 H=143.908 L=143.057 C=143.38406-24 20:00 O=143.473 H=145.001 L=143.431 C=145.00106-24 21:00 O=145.102 H=145.483 L=144.682 C=145.43606-24 22:00 O=145.442 H=145.442 L=144.617 C=145.07406-24 23:00 O=145.081 H=145.954 L=144.72 C=145.95406-25 00:00 O=145.964 H=146.272 L=145.207 C=146.24306-25 01:00 O=146.175 H=146.201 L=145.323 C=145.92706-25 02:00 O=145.923 H=146.737 L=145.897 C=146.04306-25 03:00 O=146.002 H=146.276 L=145.709 C=145.70906-25 04:00 O=145.712 H=145.712 L=145.12 C=145.51806-25 05:00 O=145.472 H=145.801 L=145.317 C=145.65806-25 06:00 O=145.565 H=146.432 L=145.381 C=146.39606-25 07:00 O=146.393 H=147.415 L=146.24 C=147.04706-25 08:00 O=147.048 H=147.11 L=145.23 C=145.75606-25 09:00 O=145.762 H=146.758 L=145.311 C=145.47106-25 10:00 O=145.483 H=146.18 L=145.224 C=145.79206-25 11:00 O=145.819 H=146.368 L=145.406 C=146.36106-25 12:00 O=146.359 H=146.369 L=145.633 C=146.36906-25 13:00 O=146.387 H=147.755 L=146.355 C=147.33706-25 14:00 O=147.337 H=147.379 L=145.269 C=145.68906-25 15:00 O=145.73 H=145.73 L=143.5 C=143.69106-25 16:00 O=143.712 H=144.163 L=143.07 C=143.46306-25 17:00 O=143.461 H=144.463 L=143.451 C=143.90906-25 18:00 O=143.939 H=143.939 L=143.348 C=143.40406-25 19:00 O=143.404 H=144.482 L=143.376 C=144.45206-25 20:00 O=144.534 H=145.144 L=144.331 C=145.08506-25 21:00 O=145.138 H=145.332 L=144.232 C=144.26706-25 22:00 O=144.308 H=144.333 L=143.179 C=143.19806-25 23:00 O=143.21 H=143.509 L=142.56 C=143.50506-26 00:00 O=143.509 H=144.366 L=143.509 C=144.19206-26 01:00 O=144.201 H=145.761 L=143.836 C=145.29206-26 02:00 O=145.305 H=146.379 L=145.132 C=146.35706-26 03:00 O=146.337 H=147.707 L=145.857 C=145.86506-26 04:00 O=145.878 H=146.001 L=145.13 C=145.44306-26 05:00 O=145.457 H=145.503 L=144.253 C=144.46306-26 06:00 O=144.465 H=145.049 L=144.454 C=144.79106-26 07:00 O=144.805 H=145.818 L=144.805 C=145.38606-26 08:00 O=145.385 H=145.749 L=144.902 C=144.90206-26 09:00 O=144.91 H=145.077 L=143.9 C=143.906-26 10:00 O=143.896 H=144.179 L=143.423 C=143.54906-26 11:00 O=143.554 H=143.909 L=143.356 C=143.81906-26 12:00 O=143.814 H=143.885 L=142.95 C=143.06406-26 13:00 O=143.049 H=143.185 L=141.621 C=141.68906-26 14:00 O=141.73 H=143.55 L=141.702 C=143.13906-26 15:00 O=143.15 H=143.547 L=142.021 C=142.9306-26 16:00 O=142.966 H=143.144 L=142.328 C=142.32806-26 17:00 O=142.376 H=142.777 L=142.029 C=142.02906-26 18:00 O=142.034 H=142.396 L=141.205 C=141.5606-26 19:00 O=141.565 H=142.558 L=141.455 C=142.51906-26 20:00 O=142.499 H=143.844 L=142.224 C=142.99206-26 21:00 O=142.993 H=142.993 L=139.846 C=140.36706-26 22:00 O=140.371 H=140.686 L=139.195 C=139.19506-26 23:00 O=139.193 H=139.276 L=138.818 C=139.0606-27 00:00 O=139.062 H=139.288 L=138.082 C=138.08206-27 01:00 O=138.074 H=139.762 L=137.794 C=139.67106-27 02:00 O=139.655 H=140.916 L=139.383 C=140.91606-27 03:00 O=140.909 H=141.564 L=140.909 C=141.49606-27 04:00 O=141.49 H=141.552 L=141.056 C=141.47406-27 05:00 O=141.46 H=141.635 L=140.703 C=140.71806-27 06:00 O=140.72 H=141.331 L=140.481 C=141.33106-27 07:00 O=141.341 H=142.146 L=140.344 C=140.365進場 144.768停損 138.978第1段 25% 啟動 156.35第1段 25% 出場:停損 -4.3%第2段 75% 出場:停損 -4.3%進場06-23 22:0006-25 15:0006-27 07:00圖外(不影響縮放):第2段啟動價 317.043

圖為時線逐根判定(藍=進場價、紅虛線=停損價、綠點線=武裝價、橘階梯線=移動停利價、紫=出場);標題的「日線回測」是主體回測(日線+校正表)判定的結果,兩者出場點可能略有差異——這正是用來目視檢查日線回測是否合理的依據。

per_trade_compound%:同一訊號日對全部標的等權重得到組合報酬;再用「間隔 ≥ 持有日」的不重疊軌道依序複利,取每筆等效複利率 (比照 crypto 專案定義)。穩健度=各期間 per_trade_compound 的最小值,避免只在某一段行情有效的參數勝出。
停損/武裝/回落皆為「現貨價」%;權益報酬 = 槓桿 × 價格變動 − 雙邊成本×槓桿;槓桿強平門檻 = 0.9/槓桿(停損不可比強平更寬)。
日線內同一根 K 棒的先後順序不確定處,以時線校正表(依當日振幅與回落幅度的比例估計機率)+固定種子抽樣處理。
槓桿交易風險極高,本頁不構成投資建議。