InvestMarket 回測報告

產生時間:2026-07-30 21:09:02 台灣時間
pick_n=1 回測日期區間:(最早) ~ (最新)
最佳參數:lookback=240, w_rsi=-0.15, w_macd=0.65, w_bb=0.15, w_mchg=0.35 edge=+0.2453% (已寫入正式最佳參數快取,供排名頁使用)

回測控制頁分析控制頁

參數組合結果(依 edge% 由高到低)

rklookbackw_rsiw_macdw_bbw_mchg pick_ret%all_ret%edge%datespicks
1240-0.150.650.150.35+1.6755+1.4301+0.2453 best10261026
2240-0.150.750.150.25+1.5999+1.4301+0.169810261026
3240-0.150.700.150.30+1.5924+1.4301+0.162310261026
4240-0.050.550.150.35+1.5890+1.4301+0.158810261026
5240-0.050.650.150.25+1.5314+1.4301+0.101310261026
6240-0.150.650.250.25+1.5166+1.4301+0.086510261026
7240-0.050.650.050.35+1.5088+1.4301+0.078710261026
8240-0.150.550.250.35+1.5081+1.4301+0.077910261026
9240-0.250.650.250.35+1.4751+1.4301+0.045010261026
10240-0.250.750.150.35+1.4248+1.4301-0.005310261026
11240-0.150.750.050.35+1.3699+1.4301-0.060210261026

最佳參數之 UPS 排行(最新資料)

rkSymbolPriceUPSRSIBB%CxDate Range
1AMD pick429.56-70.636.0-0.179 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
2AMAT436.45-65.333.6-0.146 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
3ASML1550.69-60.335.1-0.166 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
4TSLA298.32-60.025.40.035 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
5SKHYNIX1322000.00-51.631.8-0.015 2025-08-04~2026-07-30
6GLW124.05-48.630.20.053 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
7SAMSUNG207000.00-44.633.60.023 2025-08-04~2026-07-30
8MU739.00-41.935.7-0.156 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
9TSM374.67-39.534.2-0.067 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
10META585.61-36.241.40.175 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
11HIMS25.00-34.233.6-0.125 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
12NBIS148.22-32.034.0-0.093 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
13INTC81.88-30.631.50.033 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
14NVDA190.01-28.138.00.005 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
15WDC462.04-27.039.30.096 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
16STX764.43-26.641.50.136 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
17AMZN226.65-23.633.3-0.026 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
18EWJ89.35-16.539.30.029 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
19SPY729.46-15.938.6-0.138 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
20UNHX420.57-10.350.80.267 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
21BNB-USD585.49-7.657.91.121 2025-12-03~2026-07-30
22GOOGL336.71-7.043.60.294 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
23ETHUSDT1919.64-6.857.80.710 2025-12-01~2026-07-30
24MPX38.10-6.426.4-0.014 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
25BTCUSDT64773.36-6.352.70.578 2025-12-01~2026-07-30
26XRP-USD1.08-1.045.50.335 2025-12-03~2026-07-30
27NATGAS2.69-0.631.70.142 2025-08-28~2026-07-30
28SOLUSDT74.17-0.545.40.236 2025-12-01~2026-07-30
29CL=F83.76-0.254.30.652 2025-08-20~2026-07-30
30MSFT390.542.150.00.530 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
31VGK88.862.652.10.596 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
32CVX191.866.261.70.750 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
33XAUUSD4134.107.552.30.792 2025-08-28~2026-07-30
34AAPL338.198.866.80.833 2025-08-14~2026-07-29
35XAGUSD58.249.744.30.446 2025-08-28~2026-07-30
36ONDS6.8016.439.10.173 2025-08-14~2026-07-29

edge% = pick_ret% − all_ret%(正值=pick 優於全體均值)。pick_ret%/all_ret% 皆為跨日期的幾何平均(複合報酬率), 非算術平均——因為報酬有正有負時,算術平均會高估實際複合效果(例如 +50% 與 -50% 兩期,算術平均是 0%,但每期等效複合率其實是 sqrt(0.75)-1 ≈ -13.4%)。